| Preview: Juventus Turin vs SSC Napoli 06/01/2022 betting preview, stats, predictions |
Preview: Juventus Turin vs SSC Napoli 06/01/2022 betting preview, stats, predictions
Intro
Juventus Turin will host SSC Napoli on Thursday, January 06, 2022 and you can read a special match preview and get some predictions here.
Hello there, football betting enthusiast. This is Betakos, and I'm here with another Betting Stats Update. In this post, we will discuss the Serie A match between Juventus Turin and SSC Napoli. The match belongs to Odds Class ITA1 0,48 which already have had ten (10) past records in the archive.
Match Stats Class: Odds Class
Concerning the full-time result market, this class has produced 6-2-2 (1-X-2) with eight (8) matches being over 2.5 goals and nine (9) matches with both teams scoring.
Odds Value
Six out of ten (6/10) represents 1.67 value odds. The average odds available for the home win are around this level, therefore the home win pick appears to be a decent one value-wise.
About the goals market odds for the Over 2.5 selection are around the 2.02 mark. This is a huge value based on the stats.
Finally, both teams to score pick averages 1.95 which represents a tremendous value too.
Goal Expectancies
The timeline analysis shows a high goal expectancy for the home teams. Now beware, as this has two (2) explanations. The hosts in this class produce 2.20 goals on average (the moving average of the last five groups of five games each) and the goal expectancy reads 3.00.
The fact is that home teams have been underperforming in recent games, so in order to get back close to the average, they need to score three goals in this next match. But this is just the “IF” scenario.
If hosts are about to get back near the average they normally produce, Juventus Turin must score three (3) goals tonight. On the other hand, the hosts are underperforming, they are in bad form.
Now we, the bettors need to answer this question. Is it going to be the night when the swift from bad form to a good one is the case, or should the bad form continue?
On the other hand, the visitors appear to be more solid, talking about their standards. In the last five groups of five games, they average exactly one goal. Their goal expectancy reads zero goals. This means they are overperforming lately, or in other words, they are in good form (always talking about their standards).
Predictions: What should we bet on then?
Enough with the theory, let’s get practical. Of course, the home win is the strongest card in general but talking about tonight we should not go all in. Don’t forget we had 40% of hosts not winning, which is not something to be left out of the equation.
This is again the time to call BSC on duty.
Below are my selections:
Home win @1.61 BET365
1-1 scoreline @7.50 BET365
2-2 scoreline @19.00 BET365
1-2 scoreline @17.00 BET365
| Juventus Turin vs SSC Napoli 06-01-22 bet365 |
Personally, I will give a try against the favorites for profit. I will hunt the 2-2 and 1-2 scorelines keeping the other two selections as my safety net. In fact, my biggest decision is that I actually back SSC Napoli to score tonight.
| Juventus Turin vs SSC Napoli 06-01-22 BSC |
If I am correct, I get rid of the 0-0 draw. The next decision is about visitors not scoring 3+ goals tonight. This would mean that I need Juventus Turin to score at least one more to win and me to get back my stakes.
The third decision is I need Juventus Turin to score. I will lose if the match ends up 0-1, as I am backing 1-2.
Probable net profit
My selections of chasing profit in the above-mentioned scorelines could provide me with a net profit margin of around 120%. This is a decent profit margin considering my covers.
Outro
Thank you for your time reading this post. I wish you enjoyed this Betting Preview. Good luck whatever you bet in this match. Please feel free to leave your comments, suggestions, or critics in the comments section.
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