Preview: RCD Espanyol Barcelona vs Elche CF 10-01-22 betting preview, stats, predictions
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| Preview: RCD Espanyol Barcelona vs Elche CF 10-01-22 betting preview, stats, predictions |
Intro
RCD Espanyol Barcelona will host Elche on Monday, January 10, 2022, and you can read a special match preview and get some predictions here.
Hello there, football betting enthusiast. This is Betakos, and I'm here with another Betting Stats Update. In this post, we will discuss the La Liga match between Espanyol and Elche. The match belongs to Odds Class SPN1 0,46 which already have had six (6) past records in the archive.
Match Stats Class: Odds Class
Concerning the full-time result market, this class has produced 3-2-1 (1-X-2) with three (3) matches being over 2.5 goals and two (2) matches with both teams scoring.
Odds Value
Three out of six (3/6) represents 2.00 value odds. The average odds available for the home win are around 1.77, therefore the home win pick, offers no value at all.
About the goals market odds for the Over 2.5 selection are around the 2.07 mark. This is fair enough stats-wise.
Finally, both teams to score pick averages 1.93 which is far away of what stats indicate.
Goal Expectancies
Let’s have a look at the goal averages. I use the moving averages of every five (5) and three (3) matches. I calculate the average of the last five (5) sets of five (5) and three (3) games.
Hosts have produced 2.10 goals in the last five sets of five games and 2.25 in the last five sets of three games. This is a very decent figure except for the fact that there is a great variance (2.10) in the results. So these means are not describing the facts so well.
Visitors on the other hand have produced 0.80 and 0.67 respectively. Again there’s a big variance too (1.03), although less than the hosts.
Concerning goal expectancies, the 5 games analysis dictates 0.50 and 2.00 for hosts and visitors respectively. In the 3 games, analysis figures are opposite with 2.75 and 0.00 goals.
Forecasted Goal Figures (Goal Expectancies) are just indicators of how many goals should be scored, in order for the newborn sets of five and three games to give an average equal to the last one. So we use the last standing average figures as the benchmark for the forecasting.
Predictions: What should we bet on then?
Enough with the theory, let’s get practical. With just 3 home wins in 6 games, we are not so comfortable going all-in for the home win. We need to add some cover in the Draw and why not, if odds allow it, to the Away win too.
This is again the time to call BSC on duty.
Below are my selections:
Home win @1.72 BET365
1-1 scoreline @7.00 BET365
2-2 scoreline @15.00 BET365
1-2 scoreline @15.00 BET365
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| 10.1.2022 22.00 RCD Espanyol Barcelona vs Elche CF-Bet365 |
Personally, I will give it a try against the favorite for profit. I will hunt the 1-1 and 1-2 score lines keeping the other two selections as my safety net. In fact, my biggest decision is that I actually back Elche to score tonight from an underdog point of view, supposing Espanyol as the favorites should score too.
If I am correct, I get rid of the 0-0 draw. The next decision is about visitors not scoring 3+ goals tonight.
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| 10.1.2022 22.00 RCD Espanyol Barcelona vs Elche CF-BSC |
Probable net profit
My selections of chasing profit in the above-mentioned score lines could provide me with a net profit margin of around 68%. This is a decent profit margin considering my covers.
Outro
Thank you for your time reading this post. I wish you enjoyed this Betting Preview. Good luck whatever you bet in this match. Please feel free to leave your comments, suggestions, or critics in the comments section. You are very welcome to join my two (2) Facebook Groups
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